All I can say is I hope Bryan is wrong! Here’s his prediction:
“… friends, you heard it here first. If you thought 2000 was divisive, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet…. I think when all is said and done we’re going to have a tie of 269-269. I know that a while back I mentioned that several analysts had noted the possibility of a tie scenario (everything from 2000 stays the same with the exception of WV and NH). This is actually quite a bit different than that….
As far as the major battleground states go, Bush will win Florida, but Kerry will take Michigan, Pennsylvania and that historic Republican bellweather, Ohio (much to Shannon’s delight).
Unlike 2000, Bush will lose New Hampshire but gain New Mexico.
This makes the most important state in this election (and I’ve thought this for quite some time) Wisconsin. I predict that Bush wins there narrowly and sends the election into the mother of all legal battles.
Maybe the Sox just have me obsessed with notions of history-making, but I really think this may happen….
At this time four years ago, I went 49 for 50 (well, almost… I actually thought Bush was going to shave off one electoral vote from Maine, one of only two states in 2000 that didn’t have a winner-take-all arrangement). The one state I missed was New Mexico, which was ultimately decided by less than 2,500 votes.”
Bryan and I are both curious about others’ predictions, if you want to share, please do!